Russia is interested that the war unleashed by them in the Donbass, never ended. About it in interview Insider said the representative of Ukraine in the political subgroup of the Trilateral contact group immortal novel.
«The other party has an interest that this war lasted without end. And that’s the tragedy of the situation,» he said.
According to Immortal, in Donbass it is necessary to understand that this is part of a large geopolitical game:
«And here you can’t just say, Moscow or Washington, this confrontation between the civilized and uncivilized world. We are in the zone of civilizational fault, and it will bleed constantly. This means that the solution of this problem requires special instruments, and then making any changes to the Constitution or the provision of the extraterritorial status is not enough. This does not solve the problem.»
The politician stressed: «We will be sure this war to coughing 25 years, if it will stop soon. But be willing and able are two very different things. The desire to stop eating, but Ukraine can unilaterally solve this issue? No, it can’t. Say that shoot. And where do the ammo? They say that captured. And I say on the negotiations: you in the army? No? So I am informing you that in one second from a Kalashnikov flies 32 of the cartridge. This is also how much I should have to for 2 years not to shoot ammo that is there?».
Answering the question, how realistic is it to hold elections on the territory of OGLO (separate districts of Donetsk and Lugansk regions) if changes to the Constitution will be made immortal said, «We can certainly dream, but I don’t see a quick answer to this question. It is not there. Here it is necessary to focus not only on what to do and how to do it… the Situation is now so that the start of any political process, will exacerbate the conflict. Unfortunately, the situation today shows that the rhetoric about the elections did not weaken, but strengthens the process.»
Commenting on the possibility of military escalation, Russia’s plans to punch a corridor to Crimea, the politician said: «Russia has not returned to the plans to seize southern Ukraine or Eastern regions, Ukraine has to be strong enough not to allow. While we are balancing on the level that we can and what we want. But this is not the case in the world, and is our opportunity to give back.»
«Today on the separation line at different distances accumulated such a number of weapons that Ukraine can be planned. Because when they’re there and see the number of weapons they have no desire, because there are so many weapons that can destroy huge military potential. From both sides. It is obvious that in the area that we’re talking about, there may be some skirmishes, but to talk about large-scale hostilities involving the whole contingent of troops is not worth it. Because this is a disaster that will destroy Russia’s potential. Therefore, it is obvious that Russia will not go to full-scale conflict, but this does not mean that it will not ignite pockets of confrontation,» — said the diplomat.
During the year, according to the immortal, the situation will be difficult. «At a certain coincidence with the active action this year will give a positive answer to the question (will the world? – ed.). It is hoped that the conflict will begin to minimize, because the conflict is not only about fighting. There is much structuree and more difficult,» he concluded.
Immortal was previously stated that as of 1 January 2016 has begun «the process of the Minsk-3».
December 30, 2015 held telephone talks the leaders of «Norman Quartet» (Ukraine, Russia, Germany and France). The parties agreed on the extension of the Minsk agreements and new meeting of foreign Ministers in January 2015.
January 11, flew to Kiev a Russian representative to the Minsk talks, former speaker of the state Duma Boris Gryzlov. According to media reports, he held a secret meeting with President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko.
On 13 January the President of Ukraine has held a phone conversation with Federal Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel and President of France Francois Hollande. Among other things, they raised the issue of the modalities for the elections in the occupied Donbas.
On the same day, US presidents and Russia Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin also discussed the issue.
January 15, the U.S. assistant Secretary of state for Europe and Eurasia , Victoria Nuland, arrived from Lithuania to Kaliningrad region of the Russian Federation, where she met with Russian presidential aide Vladislav Surkov. The consultations were held behind closed doors. After negotiations, the parties have refrained from comments.
On 18 January, the representatives of the German Chancellor and the French President visited Kiev. Also they had to negotiate in Moscow.
On 1 February the President of Ukraine serving in Berlin to meet German Chancellor.
Note, the sanctions and low oil prices threaten Russia’s default. Many experts believe that for the sake of the economy, the Kremlin will replace aggressive with «reconciliatory» policies and can leave the occupied Donbass.
Meanwhile, Russia is trying to achieve for occupied areas of the Donbass «special status» to the Ukrainian Constitution, but official Kiev refuses to take such a step.
Immortal: the war in the Donbass to coughing 25 years 01.02.2016