German political scientist and senior researcher at the Institute for Euro-Atlantic cooperation in Kiev, Andreas Umland believes that the potential convergence of trump with Russia could undermine the Treaty on the nonproliferation of nuclear weapons in the world and will increase the risk of aggravation of the situation in the former Soviet Union. About this he wrote in his article for the German magazine Focus.
«(…) The U.S. recognition of the annexation of Crimea by Russia will further undermine the already swayed by the image of the Treaty on the nonproliferation of nuclear weapons,» — said the analyst. Umland recalled that Washington, as well as Russia and Britain guaranteed Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in the so-called Budapest Memorandum in 1994. In accordance with this agreement Ukraine (…) refused the third largest in 1992 Arsenal of nuclear weapons.
«If now the United States being the most powerful state in the world, would cast doubt secured themselves in written form a respect for the integrity of Ukraine, will be immediately the question of whether compliance with the agreements on the nonproliferation of nuclear weapons,» the author stresses.
«It is also not clear whether the policy of appeasement towards Russia in the Ukrainian issue to contribute to lasting peace in the former Soviet Union and will Moscow behave less aggressively with the former Soviet republics,» — said Umland. Yet «Russia, apparently, was not quite satisfied with their former de facto territorial acquisitions, and channels of influence in other former Soviet republics.»
«Eventually the policy of appeasement towards Russian imperialism will lead to side effects and likely will not decrease, but will increase the risk of new exacerbations in the former Soviet Union. And the potential recognition of the Russian annexation of Crimea the US will lead to the complete devaluation of international law in the post — Soviet space», — stressed Umland.
Focus. Andreas Umland: the policy of appeasement of Russia increases the danger of escalation 07.02.2017